Washington 2025 Season Projections: Offensive Numbers
June 27, 2025
by David Earl
New Season Ahead
Heading into the 2025 season, Washington made necessary improvements on the offensive line. Last season, this offensive line group looked far more improved, but it was due to Daniels‘ play more than anything else. Per Stathead, Daniels had an average time in pocket of 2.4 seconds, ranked 8th in the NFL, while being the 6th-most sacked quarterback, with 47. After facing 153 total blitzes this season, he was under pressure 18.5% of the time, hurried 36 times, and hit 28 times. The Laremy Tunsil trade plus the addition of Josh Conerly Jr. with the 29th overall selection affected the offensive line twofold by allowing the move of Brandon Coleman the left guard position. Since the pass blocking will hopefully be vastly improved, the running game beyond Daniels’ 6.0 yards per carry average should get a much-needed boost. Washington’s leading runner was Brian Robinson Jr., who averaged 4.3 yards per carry. Robinson’s average reflects a more accurate rating for the 2024 offensive line, thus being barely a top 16 unit in the running game. While they lack any true home run threat at running back, the addition of Deebo Samuels to accompany this improved offensive line should see better production from the running backs.
The high of the 2024 season and Jayden Daniels‘ rookie campaign have worn off for most, as any sensible fan understands that the 2024 roster without Daniels would have barely competed for a wildcard playoff position last season. It can also be reasonably expected that Daniels will have some sort of regression early in the season, but I personally do not see a C.J. Stroud type of sophomore slump. Defensive coordinators will find tendencies in Daniels’ game, but his preparation and high-level football IQ will allow Daniels to adjust. The offensive line improvements and the addition of Deebo Samuel should help mitigate any potentially major setbacks for the offense aside from chemistry early in the season. With all that said, let’s take some projections for the offense this season.
The 2025 Opponents
| 2025 Opponents Final Defensive Statistics for the 2024 Season | ||||||||||||
| Team | PPG | RK | YPP | RK | R/YPC | RK | COMP % | RK | P/YPC | RK | QBR | RK |
| Giants | 24.4 | 20 | 5.6 | 24 | 4.6 | 24 | 69.38% | 31 | 10.3 | 20 | 103.1 | 30 |
| Packers | 20 | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | 4.0 | 3 | 67.24% | 25 | 9.6 | 3 | 89.3 | 11 |
| Raiders | 25.5 | 25 | 5.4 | 14 | 4.4 | 13 | 65.95% | 19 | 9.9 | 11 | 96.5 | 24 |
| Falcons | 24.9 | 23 | 5.5 | 19 | 4.5 | 18 | 69.90% | 32 | 9.4 | 2 | 100.2 | 29 |
| Chargers | 18.5 | 2 | 5.4 | 13 | 4.7 | 26 | 65.05% | 13 | 9.7 | 7 | 87.3 | 6 |
| Bears | 21.8 | 14 | 5.9 | 30 | 4.8 | 27 | 64.61% | 10 | 11.4 | 31 | 90.9 | 12 |
| Cowboys | 27.5 | 31 | 5.8 | 28 | 4.8 | 28 | 68.16% | 27 | 10.6 | 25 | 99.5 | 28 |
| Chiefs | 20.5 | 6 | 5.3 | 12 | 4.1 | 6 | 66.21% | 21 | 10.2 | 17 | 92.7 | 17 |
| Seahawks | 21.6 | 13 | 5.3 | 11 | 4.6 | 23 | 65.20% | 14 | 9.7 | 6 | 90.9 | 13 |
| Lions | 21.5 | 11 | 5.8 | 29 | 4.5 | 19 | 61.62% | 2 | 11.3 | 30 | 84.0 | 4 |
| Dolphins | 21.4 | 9 | 5.3 | 9 | 4.4 | 12 | 63.81% | 9 | 9.8 | 9 | 88.7 | 8 |
| Broncos | 19 | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | 4.0 | 2 | 65.35% | 15 | 9.7 | 8 | 88.2 | 7 |
| Vikings | 19.9 | 4 | 5.3 | 10 | 4.1 | 4 | 65.36% | 16 | 9.9 | 12 | 83.8 | 3 |
| Eagles | 18.1 | 1 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.3 | 11 | 62.00% | 5 | 9.0 | 1 | 81.6 | 2 |
| Average | 21.8 | X | 5.4 | X | 4.4 | X | 65.70% | X | 10.0 | X | 91.2 | X |
| Points Per Game (PPG), Yards Per Play (YPP), Rushing Yards Per Carry (R/YPC), Passing Yards Per Completion (P/YPC) | ||||||||||||
Washington is projected to have the 8th-toughest schedule according to the NFL but the easiest within their division. Above you will see their opponents’ defensive play and rank from last season, utilizing Team Rankings going forward. While these teams may have either improved, gotten worse, or stayed the same defensively, I will utilize this information to help project the 2025 season offensively for Washington. Washington’s final statistical standings from last season are as follows:
- Ranked 1st: average 66 plays per game (60.05% pass plays)
- Ranked 6th: average 28.8 PPG
- Ranked 10th: average 5.7 YPP
- Ranked 6th: average 4.8 rushing YPC
- Ranked 6th: average completion of 68.91% of passes
- Ranked 15th: average 10.2 passing YPC
- Ranked 7th: average 101.8 overall QBR
- Ranked 26th: sack rate, allowing 8.70%
The defenses Washington will face to close out the season, the Eagles twice, the Broncos, and the Vikings, will potentially be what determines whether Washington makes the playoffs. In the final 6 of 8 games of the season, Washington will face top 10 defenses in total QBR allowed and points per game allowed. Even though they start the season against one of last season’s worst teams, their additions on defense and quarterback Russell Wilson will not make a team that Washington struggled with last year a pushover in week one. Of course, this is just all subjective at this point – just how good or bad these teams will be is obviously an unknown. In considering the information we have to this point, here is what the offense could look like this season:
The Skill Position Projections
With Jayden Daniels entering his second year after a spectacular rookie season, I can see a more pass-heavy offense with a 64.2% pass rate versus a 35.8% rushing rate. The first couple of weeks could mirror last year in pass versus run ratio, but Kliff Kingsbury is going to take advantage of having Deebo Samuel, especially to help open up the run game. While the numbers below are more on the conservative side, there are some numbers I could see being much higher. If Jayden Daniels can avoid any major setbacks, he could very easily surpass 4,000 passing yards, approach the 40 passing touchdown mark, while eclipsing a 70% completion rate. With the improvements in the offensive line and the addition of Deebo Samuel, Daniels’ rushing totals could get him nearly breaking 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns. Ultimately, this offense will likely rely mostly on Jayden Daniels’ arm in the passing game and utilizing his legs more so when a pass play breaks down over the designed runs we see in Baltimore with Lamar Jackson.
Terry McLaurin is projected to have 90 receptions and over 1,200 yards but this season could very well align in his favor for a career year. Jayden Daniels will obviously force defenses to be honest, accounting for his legs, but the potential impact of Deebo Samuel’s could push McLaurin over 100 receptions. Terry McLaurin could very easily end the season with 100-plus receptions, over 1,400 yards and again in the double digits for touchdowns. This will depend on whether Washington gets anywhere near the 2021 season version of Deebo Samuel, who had over 1,400 yards receiving, averaging 18.2 yards per reception. Not mirroring that season but merely being that explosive threat he was then on the 2025 season.
As far as the running backs, I don’t expect much more out of Brian Robinson Jr., as he is what he is, and Austin Ekeler will be a primary threat in the passing game. Now, if 7th round pick running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt surprises this team and produces, he could very well challenge to account for more than the 8% of the projected available remaining carries listed in the table below. This running back room gives him an opportunity to carve a role in this offense and potentially take away touches from Brian Robinson Jr in the second half of the season. Unfortunately, the odds play against Jacory Croskey-Merritt as a 7th-round pick and if we are holding out hope for him to surprise, that does not say much about the running back room. Once again, the only hope for any explosive plays out of the running game will come through Jayden Daniels.
Quarterback
| Jayden Daniels | Pass Att. | Comp | Comp % | Pass Yds | Yards Per Pass | TDs | TD % | Ints | Int % | QBR |
| 2025 Projection | 581 | 394 | 67.8% | 3979 | 10.1 | 34 | 5.8% | 9 | 1.5% | 100.2 |
| 2024 Stats | 480 | 331 | 69.0% | 3568 | 10.2 | 25 | 5.2% | 9 | 1.9% | 70.6 |
Wide Recievers
| Player | Target % | Targets | Catch % | Rec | YPC | Yards | TDs | TD% |
| Terry McLaurin | 24.5% | 142 | 63.4% | 90 | 13.9 | 1251 | 8 | 8.7% |
| Deebo Samuel | 18.7% | 109 | 65.5% | 71 | 14.3 | 1021 | 5 | 6.5% |
| Zach Ertz | 14.3% | 83 | 67.3% | 56 | 10.4 | 581 | 4 | 6.8% |
| Noah Brown | 11.2% | 65 | 59.8% | 39 | 13.3 | 517 | 2 | 4.0% |
| Austin Ekeler | 9.5% | 55 | 79.6% | 44 | 8.9 | 390 | 3 | 6.3% |
| Total | 78.2% | 454 | Following Based on Career Average: Catch %, YPC, TD% | |||||
| Remaining | 21.8% | 127 | ||||||
Running Backs
| Player | Carry % | Carries | YPC | Yards | TDs | TD% |
| Jayden Daniels | 33.1% | 133 | 6.0 | 798 | 5 | 4.1% |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | 41.7% | 167 | 4.1 | 687 | 4 | 2.6% |
| Austin Ekeler | 17.2% | 69 | 4.4 | 304 | 3 | 4.1% |
| Total | 92.0% | 370 | 9 | Following Based on Career Average: YPC, TD% | ||
| Remaining | 8.0% | 32 | 127 | |||